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Friday, June 29, 2012

The Vortex Grows

The amount of spinning that is going on about the Supreme Court decision in Obamacare and the contempt of Congress citation for Eric Holder is making me dizzy. I have now read analysis that claims that yesterday's decisions guarantee Obama's victory in November as well as others that proclaim that Obama's defeat is now also guaranteed. The House vote was either earth-shaking or inconsequential. Chief Justice Roberts either caved to political pressure or came to a reasoned decision. It is all hogwash. There are really only a few things that actually happened yesterday:

1) The chance to use the courts to overturn Obamacare has ended. The election in November is now going to be, in some part, a referendum on Obamacare. If there is a clear GOP win, Obamacare will go. If Obama wins re-election, Obamacare will stay even were the Republicans to pick up both houses of Congress.

2) Eric Holder's position as Attorney General has become more tenuous. No matter what anyone says, he is the first AG in history to be cited for contempt. The matter will soon be before a judge, and the chance of unhappy documents coming out will make Holder's continued presence in the cabinet a problem for Obama. The issue is timing now, not the end result. Holder will go sooner or later.

3) Yesterday's events will affect the outcome in November. Of course, no one actually knows how that will play out until it actually does. Will conservatives and tea party folks be so incensed by the court decision that they will all come out to vote thereby raising GOP turnout? Will demoralized Democrats take heart at the decision and vote instead of staying home assuming defeat? Will middle class voters take offense at the tax that Obamacare has become and vote Republican? (This is one of the more laughable claims that is floating out there in the ether.) Time will tell.

The truth is that it is time to move forward on both issues. The family of the slain border guard deserves to know what happened that led to government guns being used by the drug runners to kill him. America has to make a final decision on the size of government and the continual growth of entitlements. Let's have at it.

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