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Wednesday, June 27, 2012

A prediction

I am getting tired of reading predictions about tomorrow's decision by the Supreme Court and the contempt of Congress vote, so I decided to make my own.

Here is what will happen tomorrow:

1) At 8:30 the new unemployment claims for last week will be announced. The figure for the previous week will be revised upwards by 4000 and the figure for this week will be set at 392,000.
2) At about 10:45, the Supreme Court will announce its decision in the Obamacare case. The decision will come in three parts. First, unanimous court will hold that the Anti-Injunction law does not apply in this case. Second, the individual mandate will be struck down as beyond the power of the federal government by a vote of 6 to 3. The majority will be Chief Justice Roberts and Justices Thomas, Scalia, Alito, Kennedy and Sotomayor. Third, the entire Obamacare law will be struck down, not just the mandate.
3) In the afternoon, the House will vote to hold Eric Holder in contempt of Congress. Those voting for contempt will include 28 Democrats and all of the Republicans.
4) By six o'clock, president Obama and his spokemen will blame the GOP for its refusal to accept the compromise that was offered on the Fast and Furious documents and will tell the nation that the citation of contempt is nothing more than a political game. They will also tell us all that the Supreme Court is just playing politics.

UPDATE -- Like everyone else, I was wrong.

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