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Thursday, May 7, 2020

Georgia Reopened -- What Has Happened?

Back on April 25, the state of Georgia reopened.  Governor Kemp allowed tattoo parlors, spas, barbershops and a great many other sorts of businesses to resume operations.  President Trump who is a big proponent of getting the country reopened announced at the virus briefing that day that he disagreed with the move by the Georgia governor but that it was Kemp's decision and he would not try to override it.  The media was less charitable, especially the left wing outlets (which is most.)  Some even called the move by Kemp an "experiment in human sacrifice."  The Atlanta Journal Constitution, which is the premier left wing news source in Georgia is still pushing the idea that this move by Kemp will result in thousands of people dying who would otherwise have survived.

Since two weeks have gone by since the state started opening up again, it's worth taking a look to see how the number of cases have reacted.  On April 20 -27, the average number of new cases in Georgia was 729 per day.  That figure is where the state was prior to reopening.  On May 1- May 7, the average number of new cases was 754 per day.  If there has been any increase due to the reopening, it would show up clearly in the latest figures.  While the current figures are slightly higher than the ones the week immediately prior to reopening, the main point is that there has NOT been any significant change.  In fact, it's important to note that the number of tests administered in Georgia is about 60% higher per day during the latest week than it was during the earlier one.  That alone should have uncovered more people who tested positive and would more than account for the higher number of positives. 

These are early numbers from Georgia, and things could change as opening up continues.  The newest figures, though, are very encouraging about the effect of reopening.

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