Search This Blog

Thursday, May 14, 2020

Is There A Need For Voting By Mail?

One of the big items that the Democrats are pushing in their new corona virus bill is to provide federal support for states to have voting by mail next November.  This gets billed by the Democrats as making it possible for people to vote from home rather than risking their lives by going to the polls.  But is that really true?

First of all, November is still six months from now.  By then, there could be no virus cases at all or there could be an avalanche of recurrent viral infections.  Given the trend in the country, though, the most likely status is for a huge reduction in cases by that time.

We do have one test of this issue that is worth reviewing.  During the first week in April, Wisconsin held its primary.  Well over one million people voted and many of them had to wait in line for over an hour at crowded polling places.  This was at the height of the pandemic.  What effect did it have on the number of cases in Wisconsin.  If one listens to the Democrats, there should have been a huge uptick in the level of infection across Wisconsin starting no later than two weeks after the primary.  By now, Wisconsin ought to be approaching New York style levels of sickness.  But what really happened?  Wisconsin has tripled the number of tests take on average each day since the date of the primary.  That alone ought to have uncovered many more cases each day now than back on primary day.  Instead, Wisconsin averaged between 100 and 200 cases each day in early April and it is still averaging about the same number now.  In the interim, there have been some days that were much higher and some that were much lower.  The trend has been pretty level, however.

Given that mail ballots provide a major opportunity for election fraud, there really needs to be a good reason to switch to such a system.  In Wisconsin, at least, the in person voting by more than a million people didn't cause any surge in the virus.  The Democrats are just wrong when they speak of the urgent need for mail in ballots.

No comments: