Once again this morning, I was asked why the figures on new cases of the virus have been so bad in Georgia after that state reopened. That conclusion, after all, has been repeatedly stated on media like MSNBC or CNN. Usually, the statement about how terrible things are in Georgia is followed by some comment how the governor there or president Trump is just concerned with business profits instead of the lives of people. The problem, of course, is that THIS IS NOT TRUE. The media and the pundits and experts have either not bothered to look at the actual numbers or they are not telling the truth.
Georgia governor Kemp reopened much of his state including hair salons, tattoo parlors, restaurants, gyms and the like. Kemp took this action so that the state reopened as of April 24th. We are getting close to three weeks since the opening occurred. Because Kemp went beyond the guidelines put forth by the White House and because the pundits and the "experts" and the media were so opposed to the Georgia governor's action, the media has been hoping to see that things go really poorly in Georgia.
If you look at the statistic for numbers of tests taken, number of new cases reported and deaths each day, you find that the cases have continued to fall even after the reopening. Remember, given the incubation phase of the disease, new cases don't get diagnosed from symptoms and testing until at least a week, on average, after exposure. That means that for those exposed on the first day of the reopened Georgia on April 24, there really wouldn't be much effect on the number of new cases diagnosed until 7 days had passed (May 2). The figures from the state department of public health show that there were on average a little more than 100 fewer cases each day since May 2 than there were for the two weeks prior to that.
Because deaths from the virus on average occur only 14 days after the first symptoms appear, it has not yet been long enough for there to be much, if any, effect on the statistics from Georgia.
Here are the actual numbers from the Georgia Department of Public Health. Figures in bold are those which are unaffected by the reopening due to insufficient passage of time.
Georgia governor Kemp reopened much of his state including hair salons, tattoo parlors, restaurants, gyms and the like. Kemp took this action so that the state reopened as of April 24th. We are getting close to three weeks since the opening occurred. Because Kemp went beyond the guidelines put forth by the White House and because the pundits and the "experts" and the media were so opposed to the Georgia governor's action, the media has been hoping to see that things go really poorly in Georgia.
If you look at the statistic for numbers of tests taken, number of new cases reported and deaths each day, you find that the cases have continued to fall even after the reopening. Remember, given the incubation phase of the disease, new cases don't get diagnosed from symptoms and testing until at least a week, on average, after exposure. That means that for those exposed on the first day of the reopened Georgia on April 24, there really wouldn't be much effect on the number of new cases diagnosed until 7 days had passed (May 2). The figures from the state department of public health show that there were on average a little more than 100 fewer cases each day since May 2 than there were for the two weeks prior to that.
Because deaths from the virus on average occur only 14 days after the first symptoms appear, it has not yet been long enough for there to be much, if any, effect on the statistics from Georgia.
Here are the actual numbers from the Georgia Department of Public Health. Figures in bold are those which are unaffected by the reopening due to insufficient passage of time.
Georgia Statistics – Source Georgia Department of Public
Health
|
Date
|
Tests Reported
|
New Cases
|
Deaths
|
|
April 20
|
4395
|
646
|
46
|
|
21
|
3812
|
934
|
66
|
|
22
|
5932
|
851
|
37
|
|
23
|
6990
|
772
|
36
|
|
24 – state reopens
|
8114
|
479
|
20
|
|
25
|
11828
|
548
|
12
|
|
26
|
4209
|
706
|
8
|
|
27
|
3946
|
512
|
59
|
|
28
|
12851
|
702
|
55
|
|
29
|
3919
|
957
|
71
|
|
30
|
5105
|
583
|
27
|
|
May 1
|
19323
|
1115
|
34
|
|
2
|
6433
|
836
|
20
|
|
3
|
296
|
296
|
3
|
|
4
|
8229
|
766
|
45
|
|
5
|
17558
|
343
|
66
|
|
6
|
3154
|
985
|
23
|
|
7
|
13156
|
743
|
25
|
|
8
|
10264
|
677
|
41
|
|
9
|
7757
|
426
|
23
|
|
10
|
8223
|
909
|
5
|
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