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Monday, April 10, 2017

More Of a Valley Than A Hill

There's a piece in The Hill describing how "national trends" favor the Democrats to retake the House in 2018.  It's a joke of an article for a number of reasons.  For me, the biggest joke is the source.  Remember, The Hill is one of those supposedly knowledgeable media organizations that told us ten days before the election that not only would Hillary win, but also the Democrats would take the Senate and might even win the House.  They were off just a bit since the GOP took everything in sight.

Right now, we are close to three months into the Trump administration but The Hill is already observing trends that tell them who will win elections for which there are not yet any candidates nearly two years from now.  One trend is that Trump's approval rating went down recently.  Okay, the President's approval numbers did decline when the Obamacare repeal/replacement bill was pulled from the floor of the House.  That was a few weeks back.  Since then, his approval numbers have rebounded somewhat.  Starting today, we should see how the Syria missile attack affected his approval numbers.  If history is a guide, Trump's poll numbers should get a substantial bump up.  Will The Hill publish another article next week telling us how "trends" show that the GOP has a lock on the House in 2018?  Of course not.  The point here, however, is not the bias of media like The Hill; rather, it is the idiocy of discussing supposed trends already affecting the 2018 elections.  That's not only stupid, but also nonsensical.

Given the level of insight this article displays, it seems that the media outlet is more of a valley than a hill. 

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