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Monday, February 19, 2018

Is Texas Ready for This?

The governor's race in Texas this year will pit governor Abbott against a Democrat challenger.  In the latest polls, the leading Democrat is former sheriff Lupe Valdez.  She's ahead by just under 20%.  Now things change, and Valdez may not get the nomination, but if she does, it should be quite and interesting race.  Valdez won the sheriff's position in Dallas County some years back and became the first Hispanic female lesbian sheriff in the state's history.  Are Texans ready to elect the first Hispanic lesbian as governor?  My guess is that most states are not ready for that, and this is Texas that we are discussing.  Any victory by a Democrat in Texas is a long shot, but adding in the minority and sexual preference of Valdez could present an even bigger difficulty for her in this race.

My prediction is that if Valdez is the candidate, she will lose in a landslide even bigger than the usual loss by Democrats (the last Democrat lost by 20% four years ago.)  That should be big enough to guarantee that Ted Cruz gets re-elected to the senate and that the GOP holds onto its seats in Congress and maybe picks up one or two more.

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