In the last two years, there have been over 50 public polls in the state of Michigan asking if people would support Trump or Biden. Biden won every one. In fact, the numbers have been so consistently in Biden's favor that those who predict the election, put Michigan in the "leans Democrat" column. It's the only state Trump carried in 2016 in that category. Many are listed as toss ups, but only Michigan was deemed lost to Trump.
Today, after the conventions have ended, a new poll in Michigan was released by Trafalgar. It shows Trump beating Biden by 47-45 among likely voters. Maybe the poll is wrong, but in the political world, this is an earthquake, AN EARTHQUAKE!!!
For two years at least, Michigan and national Democrats have been confident that Trump's razor thin victory in Michigan in 2016 was an aberration that would never be repeated. And now a respected poll says Trump is ahead by 2%.
It's even more important, because the same poll gives Trump over a quarter of the African American vote. In 2016, Trump got 8% of the black vote nationwide. If blacks actually vote for Biden by a margin of only 75% to 25%, it pretty much guarantees that Trump will win in November.
Right now there must be major panic in Wilmington. I wonder if anyone has had the nerve to go into the basement and tell Joe?
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