The media, president Obama and the Obamacrats are taking a victory lap to celebrate the Paris agreement on global warming. One truly has to wonder why that is. Here's the essence of what secretary of state John Kerry said this morning on one of the Sunday shows about the accord as reported by the AP: there "is already plenty of evidence that climate change is having a damaging and expensive impact with more intense storms, wildfires and melting glaciers."
Here's the problem. None of this is accurate. NONE of it.
In the 1990's satellites were launched by NASA and tasked with monitoring the atmospheric temperature around the globe in order to measure the effect of global warming. This is the most precise measurement of the Earth's temperature. Unlike surface readings, these temperatures do not have to be "adjusted" because of the heat effect from cities or other generators of temperature variations. These satellites have seen NO statistically significant increase in global temperature over the last 18 years. In other words, when the proponents of global warming don't get to adjust the temperatures to meet their theories, there is no warming.
Storms have not gotten more intense. If anything, the storms are fewer and less often. No large hurricane has hit the USA in recent years. In fact, the period without a major hurricane is the longest in recorded history. But it is not just hurricanes. The number of tornadoes that hit the USA in the last few years are also much below the average of the last century. The strength of the tornadoes that have hit has not been, on average, any stronger than was the case in the past. So we have many fewer, but average strength tornadoes. Obviously, the USA is not the entire world, but there is no major increase in the strength of storms observed around the globe.
Some glaciers have been melting. Similarly, some ice in the poles has been melting too. The problem for global warming theory is that more ice has been generated in the poles than has melted. A recent detailed study that mapped the Antarctic from space to determine the depth of ice there over time found that there has been a stead buildup of ice at the South Pole and that the additional ice was much more than the amount that had melted over the last twenty years. Ice in the Arctic is also are a recent high point; that's more ice, not less. Kerry is just wrong.
Over the last twenty years, we have been told repeatedly that the Earth only had ten or fifteen years before all would be lost. Al Gore's latest date for disaster was January of 2016 which is, of course, next month. The planet and the weather, however, have not cooperated with Gore and the warming fanatics. We are not about to see a disaster next month. And if Gore had been correct, then an agreement to lower carbon emissions over the next 100 years (which is the goal of the Paris accord) will do nothing to stop that disaster.
The reality is that there is no scientific consensus about global warming or climate change or whatever name the fanatics start to use next. There are phony statistics about 97% agreement, but they are not valid. Many prominent scientists who are actually working in climatology strongly disagree with some or all of the conclusions of the global warming crowd. But global warming is something that will give the government more power to control things. Not surprisingly, that is very attractive to those in power. People like Obama and Kerry who think government is the answer to everything, love the idea of more government power. So we have an accord in Paris that has no enforcement mechanism, that will at best do too little, too late according to the global warming theory itself, and which is addressing a problem for which the evidence says is not a real problem. Obama and Kerry really deserve congratulations for what can only be called a delusion.
Finally, there are also recent studies that say that in or about 2030, the level of solar activity will cycle down to the point that Earth will be substantially colder than it is now. The estimate is that the globe will cool by 2-4 degrees Celsius. We are facing global cooling and perhaps a mini-ice age according to this data. Is the study and the theory on which it is based valid? We don't know. The point, however, is that before we spend billions of dollars pursuing global warming, we ought to focus first on determining what is actually happening. The climate should be the subject of true science and not political discussions.
Here's the problem. None of this is accurate. NONE of it.
In the 1990's satellites were launched by NASA and tasked with monitoring the atmospheric temperature around the globe in order to measure the effect of global warming. This is the most precise measurement of the Earth's temperature. Unlike surface readings, these temperatures do not have to be "adjusted" because of the heat effect from cities or other generators of temperature variations. These satellites have seen NO statistically significant increase in global temperature over the last 18 years. In other words, when the proponents of global warming don't get to adjust the temperatures to meet their theories, there is no warming.
Storms have not gotten more intense. If anything, the storms are fewer and less often. No large hurricane has hit the USA in recent years. In fact, the period without a major hurricane is the longest in recorded history. But it is not just hurricanes. The number of tornadoes that hit the USA in the last few years are also much below the average of the last century. The strength of the tornadoes that have hit has not been, on average, any stronger than was the case in the past. So we have many fewer, but average strength tornadoes. Obviously, the USA is not the entire world, but there is no major increase in the strength of storms observed around the globe.
Some glaciers have been melting. Similarly, some ice in the poles has been melting too. The problem for global warming theory is that more ice has been generated in the poles than has melted. A recent detailed study that mapped the Antarctic from space to determine the depth of ice there over time found that there has been a stead buildup of ice at the South Pole and that the additional ice was much more than the amount that had melted over the last twenty years. Ice in the Arctic is also are a recent high point; that's more ice, not less. Kerry is just wrong.
Over the last twenty years, we have been told repeatedly that the Earth only had ten or fifteen years before all would be lost. Al Gore's latest date for disaster was January of 2016 which is, of course, next month. The planet and the weather, however, have not cooperated with Gore and the warming fanatics. We are not about to see a disaster next month. And if Gore had been correct, then an agreement to lower carbon emissions over the next 100 years (which is the goal of the Paris accord) will do nothing to stop that disaster.
The reality is that there is no scientific consensus about global warming or climate change or whatever name the fanatics start to use next. There are phony statistics about 97% agreement, but they are not valid. Many prominent scientists who are actually working in climatology strongly disagree with some or all of the conclusions of the global warming crowd. But global warming is something that will give the government more power to control things. Not surprisingly, that is very attractive to those in power. People like Obama and Kerry who think government is the answer to everything, love the idea of more government power. So we have an accord in Paris that has no enforcement mechanism, that will at best do too little, too late according to the global warming theory itself, and which is addressing a problem for which the evidence says is not a real problem. Obama and Kerry really deserve congratulations for what can only be called a delusion.
Finally, there are also recent studies that say that in or about 2030, the level of solar activity will cycle down to the point that Earth will be substantially colder than it is now. The estimate is that the globe will cool by 2-4 degrees Celsius. We are facing global cooling and perhaps a mini-ice age according to this data. Is the study and the theory on which it is based valid? We don't know. The point, however, is that before we spend billions of dollars pursuing global warming, we ought to focus first on determining what is actually happening. The climate should be the subject of true science and not political discussions.
No comments:
Post a Comment