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Tuesday, August 4, 2015

The Impact of Hillary's Dishonesty

Okay, if you follow the news to any extent and you watch one of the outlets that actually covers things detrimental to Hillary Clinton, you know that she has been repeatedly dishonest about her email system.  There has also been a steady stream of stories about the Clinton Foundation and the appearance of impropriety on Hillary's part as secretary of state (i.e., using her position to benefit those who contributed to the foundation.)  Over the months that these stories have been percolating, Mrs. Clinton's poll numbers have been dropping, slowly at first but then with more rapidity.  The media story among Hillary defenders has been that this drop was understandable now that she was a political figure rather than an apolitical (ha, ha) secretary of state.  These same defenders also told us that the drop came because Republicans moved away from Hillary.  There's now some good polling data that shows that more is happening.

The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll  has numbers comparing the recent views of Hillary Clinton by some key groups.  One of particular importance is African Americans.  In June, the pollsters found that this group viewed Hillary positively by a margin of 81 to 3%.  Five weeks later, the same group was still positive but by a margin of 66 to 15%.  For the most Democrat group in the country to drop its opinion of Hillary by this much illustrates that there has been a major impact from all the recent news.  Among independents, Hillary went from roughly an even split a few months back to 27% approval and 51% disapproval.  This is the sort of movement that one rarely sees for an established personality like Hillary.

These numbers are just a snapshot; they can change as time passes.  For Hillary Clinton, however, the numbers undermine her biggest claim to the nomination, her inevitability.  Democrats and Independents are taking a closer look at Mrs. Clinton, and they are not liking what they are seeing.  The truth is that if she has another month or two like the last one, Hillary will be toast.




 

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