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Friday, October 23, 2015

Now Two More -- Trump Not Winning

Yesterday we got the first poll that showed Donald Trump falling behind Dr. Carson in Iowa.  Today, we got two more state polls that put Trump behind Carson.  The Bloomberg poll in Iowa has the leaders at Carson - 28% and Trump 19%.  This is almost the same as yesterday's Quinnipiac poll.  In addition, there is a Wisconsin poll that has Carson at 20% and Trump and Rubio tied for second at 18%.

In fairness, these polls still mean nothing about the final result in three months.  What they do tell us, however, is that Trump is no longer pulling away and isn't even the clear leader, at least in the Midwest.  All that can change easily and it probably will.

And by the way, for those who think that Jeb Bush remains the inevitable candidate, his number in Wisconsin is 3%.



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