Here's a quick quiz with a critical answer for the Democrat presidential race.
What are the three states that have Democrat voters who are the most white and the most liberal?
The answer may surprise you. The state with the whitest and most liberal Democrat voters is Vermont where Bernie Sanders comes from. The next two states with the whitest and most liberal Democrats are Iowa and New Hampshire. Those two states just happen to be the locations of the first two caucus/primary votes.
What this means for the Democrats is that if Bernie Sanders wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, he will just be showing that he can carry white liberal Democrats over Hillary. It says nothing about who would win votes by minorities, and that is critical. Of all the votes that elected president Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012, minority voters made up almost 40% of the total. No Democrat can win a national election without the strong support of blacks and Hispanics. Further, no Democrat can win the primary elections in most of the larger states without the support of minority voters. In most polling, however, Bernie Sanders gets less than 30% of the minority votes in a race against Hillary. That means that even if Bernie wins Iowa and New Hampshire, he still has some really high mountains to climb in order to beat her.
What are the three states that have Democrat voters who are the most white and the most liberal?
The answer may surprise you. The state with the whitest and most liberal Democrat voters is Vermont where Bernie Sanders comes from. The next two states with the whitest and most liberal Democrats are Iowa and New Hampshire. Those two states just happen to be the locations of the first two caucus/primary votes.
What this means for the Democrats is that if Bernie Sanders wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, he will just be showing that he can carry white liberal Democrats over Hillary. It says nothing about who would win votes by minorities, and that is critical. Of all the votes that elected president Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012, minority voters made up almost 40% of the total. No Democrat can win a national election without the strong support of blacks and Hispanics. Further, no Democrat can win the primary elections in most of the larger states without the support of minority voters. In most polling, however, Bernie Sanders gets less than 30% of the minority votes in a race against Hillary. That means that even if Bernie wins Iowa and New Hampshire, he still has some really high mountains to climb in order to beat her.
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